NBA · every game priced

NBA predictions for Thursday, April 30

3games priced

3official picks

0model leans, not picks

0held back, gap too wide

StartMatchupMarketModelGap (total)Our call

7:10 PMKnicks at HawksFinal · NYK 140, ATL 89214227.1+13.0Official pickOver 214 · 1u 8:10 PMCeltics at 76ersFinal · BOS 93, PHI 106212.5224.2+11.6Official pickOver 212.5 · 1u 9:40 PMNuggets at TimberwolvesFinal · DEN 98, MIN 110225231.2+6.2Official pickOver 225 · 0.5u

Official pick: on our card and in our public record. Lean: the model and the market differ, but the game did not make the card, so no stake and no record.

Held back: the gap is unusually wide, which more often means missing news than value, so we pass. Gap = our number minus the market's; right of center leans Over.