Vegas Golden Knights at Dallas Stars
Prediction, pick and result · NHL · Sunday, March 22, 2026
VGK
AwayGolden Knights
3FINALTotal 5 · Over 6 missed
DAL
HomeStars
2Official pick · counts in our record
LOSS · -0.50uOver 60.5u
Model confidence66%Tier A play
Why the model likes it
The total shows the cleanest edge, with the model half a goal above market. Over 5.8 is the preferred way to attack this matchup.
Our number vs the market
Total goals. Our model priced this game 0.5 goals higher than the sportsbooks.
Market6
Our model6.3
Gap+0.5toward Over
4567
Market 5.8
Model 6.3
Final 5
March 22, 2026 · Prices and lines as of our morning run; model picks are information, not betting advice.