Philadelphia Flyers at Pittsburgh Penguins
Prediction, pick and result · NHL · Saturday, April 18, 2026
PHI
AwayFlyers
3FINALTotal 5 · Over 6 missed
PIT
HomePenguins
2Official pick · counts in our record
LOSS · -0.50uOver 60.5u
Model confidence55%Tier A play
Why the model likes it
The total is slightly short relative to the model projection. Rivalry intensity can increase variance, but the offensive setup still leans over.
Our number vs the market
Total goals. Our model priced this game 0.4 goals higher than the sportsbooks.
Market6
Our model6.4
Gap+0.4toward Over
4567
Market 6
Model 6.4
Final 5
April 18, 2026 · Prices and lines as of our morning run; model picks are information, not betting advice.