Philadelphia Flyers at Pittsburgh Penguins
Prediction, pick and result · NHL · Monday, April 27, 2026
PHI
AwayFlyers
2FINALTotal 5 · Over 5.5 missed
PIT
HomePenguins
3Official pick · counts in our record
LOSS · -0.50uOver 5.50.5u
Model confidence66%Tier A play
Why the model likes it
The strongest edge here is the total, with the model well above market. Side projection also leans away from the listed favorite, but not as cleanly as the over.
Our number vs the market
Total goals. Our model priced this game 0.7 goals higher than the sportsbooks.
Market5.5
Our model6.4
Gap+0.7toward Over
4567
Market 5.7
Model 6.4
Final 5
April 27, 2026 · Prices and lines as of our morning run; model picks are information, not betting advice.