Buffalo Sabres at Montréal Canadiens

Why the model likes it

The over has value because the model total of 6.7 is materially above the market total of 5.8, suggesting the game environment should be more open than priced. Both teams are capable of allowing quality chances, and defensive inconsistency can quickly turn this into a back-and-forth matchup. Buffalo's pace can help lift shot volume, while Montréal can benefit from transition looks and power-play opportunities. With volatility on both blue lines and the possibility of trading chances, six or more goals is a realistic outcome.