Montréal Canadiens at Buffalo Sabres

Why the model likes it

The strongest edge in this game is on the total, with the model projecting 6.7 against a market number of 5.8. Buffalo games can open up when their transition game is working, and Montréal is capable of contributing enough offense to push pace even as an underdog. Neither side profiles as airtight defensively over a full 60 minutes, which supports chances for both teams rather than relying on one club to do all the scoring. If special teams or an early goal force a more aggressive script, this number has room to clear the posted total.