Ottawa Senators at Philadelphia Flyers

Why the model likes it

This edge exists because the model projects 6.5 goals against a market total of 5.5, which is a substantial difference in NHL totals. Both Philadelphia and Ottawa can contribute to an over through aggressive transition play, uneven defensive execution, and penalty-taking risk. Ottawa's offensive talent can create high-danger looks in bunches, while Philadelphia games often become more chaotic when forechecking pressure produces turnovers. A 3-3 type path is very live here, and even average finishing should threaten six goals.