Winnipeg Jets at St Louis Blues

Prediction, pick and result · NHL · Tuesday, October 20, 2026

WPG
AwayJets
1
FINALTotal 3 · Over 5.5 missed
STL
HomeBlues
2

Official pick · counts in our record

LOSS · -0.50u
Over 5.50.5u
Closing line5.5 at −1250.0 pts of line value
Model confidence80%Tier A play

Why the model likes it

The projection is a full goal above the market, creating the strongest numerical edge among these games. At 5.5, the over only needs a fairly average NHL scoring environment to threaten cashing, and both St. Louis and Winnipeg have enough offensive talent to contribute meaningfully. The matchup can feature quality finishing and power-play leverage, which matters when the total is this low. Even if one side controls long stretches, the price remains attractive because six goals is not an aggressive requirement in today's scoring context.

Our number vs the market

Total goals. Our model priced this game 1.0 goals higher than the sportsbooks.

Market5.5
Our model6.5
Gap+1.0toward Over

October 20, 2026 · Prices and lines as of our morning run; model picks are information, not betting advice.