St Louis Blues at Detroit Red Wings

Prediction, pick and result · NHL · Saturday, October 31, 2026

STL
AwayBlues
5
FINALTotal 9 · Over 5.5 cashed
DET
HomeRed Wings
4

Official pick · counts in our record

WIN · +0.40u
Over 5.50.5u
Best price we found−124FanDuel · 8 books
Closing line5.5 at −1200.0 pts of line value
Model confidence64%Tier A play

Why the model likes it

The model projects 6.1 goals versus a market total of 5.5, giving this matchup a solid over edge. Detroit and St. Louis both have enough offensive contributors to get this into a 3-3 or 4-2 type range, and a lower total means average finishing can be enough to cash. The edge exists because the market is pricing in a relatively muted scoring environment that the projection does not fully support. Defensive inconsistency and the possibility of special-teams scoring make this number more attackable than a standard 6 or 6.5 total.

Our number vs the market

Total goals. Our model priced this game 0.6 goals higher than the sportsbooks.

Market5.5
Our model6.1
Gap+0.6toward Over

October 31, 2026 · Prices and lines as of our morning run; model picks are information, not betting advice.