Columbus Blue Jackets at Buffalo Sabres

Why the model likes it

The edge exists because the model total of 5.6 is a full 0.9 goals below the market, which is a significant gap for an NHL total. Buffalo and Columbus can both be inconsistent offensively, and this number appears to price in more pace and finishing than the matchup necessarily supports. If either team spends long stretches in neutral-zone play or struggles on the power play, this total becomes difficult to clear. The under is further supported by volatility in chance conversion, where a game can feature activity without efficient scoring, keeping the final in the 3-2 or 3-1 range.