St Louis Blues at Nashville Predators

Prediction, pick and result · NHL · Saturday, November 7, 2026

STL
AwayBlues
1
FINALTotal 4 · Over 5.5 missed
NSH
HomePredators
3

Official pick · counts in our record

LOSS · -0.50u
Over 5.50.5u
Best price we found−115Caesars · 10 books
Closing line5.5 at −1200.0 pts of line value
Model confidence80%Tier A play

Why the model likes it

The edge is strong because the market total sits at just 5.5 while the model projects 6.2, giving meaningful room above a modest threshold. Nashville and St. Louis both have enough offensive competence to get this game to six without requiring a complete track meet. A total this low is also vulnerable to late-game scoring dynamics, including empty-net situations and more aggressive third-period tactics if the game is close. Even an average offensive performance on both sides can be enough to cash an over 5.5, which is why this grades as one of the better positions on the slate.

Our number vs the market

Total goals. Our model priced this game 0.7 goals higher than the sportsbooks.

Market5.5
Our model6.2
Gap+0.7toward Over

November 7, 2026 · Prices and lines as of our morning run; model picks are information, not betting advice.