Golden State Warriors at Detroit Pistons
Prediction, pick and result · NBA · Friday, March 20, 2026
GSW
AwayWarriors
101FINALTotal 216 · Over 217.5 missed
DET
HomePistons
115Official pick · counts in our record
LOSS · -1.00uOver 217.51u
Model confidence80%Tier A play
Why the model likes it
This looks like a stale total relative to the model, with enough room to absorb moderate shooting regression.
Our number vs the market
Total points. Our model priced this game 8.4 points higher than the sportsbooks.
Market217.5
Our model225.8
Gap+8.4toward Over
210215220225230
Market 217.4
Model 225.9
Final 216
March 20, 2026 · Prices and lines as of our morning run; model picks are information, not betting advice.