Denver Nuggets at Phoenix Suns
Prediction, pick and result · NBA · Tuesday, March 24, 2026
DEN
AwayNuggets
125FINALTotal 248 · Under 234 missed
PHX
HomeSuns
123Official pick · counts in our record
LOSS · -1.00uUnder 2341u
Model confidence82%Tier A play
Why the model likes it
This looks like the strongest total on the slate: the market appears stale or overly inflated relative to a model total more than 10 points lower.
Our number vs the market
Total points. Our model priced this game 10.1 points lower than the sportsbooks.
Market234
Our model223.7
Gap−10.1toward Under
210220230240250260
Market 233.8
Model 223.7
Final 248
March 24, 2026 · Prices and lines as of our morning run; model picks are information, not betting advice.