Chicago Bulls at Memphis Grizzlies

Prediction, pick and result · NBA · Saturday, March 28, 2026

CHI

AwayBulls

124

FINALTotal 249 · Under 245 missed

MEM

HomeGrizzlies

125

Official pick · counts in our record

LOSS · -1.00u

Under 2451u

Model confidence86%Tier B play

Why the model likes it

This number appears stale and materially too high versus the model. At 245.0, the market is pricing an extreme pace/efficiency outcome with very little tolerance for ordinary shooting or any game-flow slowdown.

Our number vs the market

Total points. Our model priced this game 11.1 points lower than the sportsbooks.

Market245

Our model233.9

Gap−11.1toward Under

230240250260

Market 245

Model 233.9

Final 249

March 28, 2026 · Prices and lines as of our morning run; model picks are information, not betting advice.