NBA · every game priced

NBA predictions for Monday, March 30

6games priced

3official picks

3model leans, not picks

0held back, gap too wide

StartMatchupMarketModelGap (total)Our call

7:10 PM76ers at HeatFinal · PHI 109, MIA 119246234.4−11.7Official pickUnder 246 · 1u 8:10 PMBulls at SpursFinal · CHI 114, SAS 129243228.9−14.3Official pickUnder 243 · 1u 8:40 PMTimberwolves at MavericksFinal · MIN 124, DAL 94236231.2−4.8LeanUnder 236 9:10 PMCavaliers at JazzFinal · CLE 122, UTA 113243.5233.4−10.0LeanUnder 243.5 9:40 PMPistons at ThunderFinal · DET 110, OKC 114219221.9+2.7LeanOver 219 10:10 PMWizards at LakersFinal · WAS 101, LAL 120235.5230.8−4.6Official pickUnder 235.5 · 0.5u

Official pick: on our card and in our public record. Lean: the model and the market differ, but the game did not make the card, so no stake and no record.

Held back: the gap is unusually wide, which more often means missing news than value, so we pass. Gap = our number minus the market's; right of center leans Over.