Philadelphia 76ers at Miami Heat

Prediction, pick and result · NBA · Monday, March 30, 2026

PHI

Away76ers

109

FINALTotal 228 · Under 246 cashed

MIA

HomeHeat

119

Official pick · counts in our record

WIN · +0.89u

Under 2461u

Model confidence86%Tier A play

Why the model likes it

246.1 is extremely aggressive and looks stale on the high side; this projects well below market even before accounting for any slowdown from Miami's preferred style.

Our number vs the market

Total points. Our model priced this game 11.7 points lower than the sportsbooks.

Market246

Our model234.4

Gap−11.7toward Under

220230240250260

Market 246.1

Model 234.4

Final 228

March 30, 2026 · Prices and lines as of our morning run; model picks are information, not betting advice.