Denver Nuggets at Utah Jazz

Prediction, pick and result · NBA · Wednesday, April 1, 2026

DEN

AwayNuggets

130

FINALTotal 247 · Under 249.5 cashed

UTA

HomeJazz

117

Official pick · counts in our record

WIN · +0.93u

Under 249.51u

Model confidence90%Tier B play

Why the model likes it

Market total looks extremely inflated relative to the projection; even with Utah's pace, this number assumes near-perfect shooting and sustained late-game offense in a likely non-competitive script.

Our number vs the market

Total points. Our model priced this game 15.7 points lower than the sportsbooks.

Market249.5

Our model233.6

Gap−15.7toward Under

220230240250260

Market 249.3

Model 233.6

Final 247

April 1, 2026 · Prices and lines as of our morning run; model picks are information, not betting advice.