Los Angeles Lakers at Oklahoma City Thunder
Prediction, pick and result · NBA · Thursday, April 2, 2026
LAL
AwayLakers
96FINALTotal 235 · Under 229.5 missed
OKC
HomeThunder
139Official pick · counts in our record
LOSS · -0.50uUnder 229.50.5u
Model confidence64%Tier A play
Why the model likes it
Model makes this total 225.6, creating a clear 4-point edge to the under. The spread setup also raises some blowout risk, which can suppress late-game pace.
Our number vs the market
Total points. Our model priced this game 4.0 points lower than the sportsbooks.
Market229.5
Our model225.6
Gap−4.0toward Under
220225230235240
Market 229.6
Model 225.6
Final 235
April 2, 2026 · Prices and lines as of our morning run; model picks are information, not betting advice.