Indiana Pacers at Charlotte Hornets

Prediction, pick and result · NBA · Friday, April 3, 2026

IND

AwayPacers

108

FINALTotal 237 · Under 236.5 missed

CHA

HomeHornets

129

Official pick · counts in our record

LOSS · -1.00u

Under 236.51u

Model confidence84%Tier A play

Why the model likes it

Market total looks inflated relative to the projection and the extreme spread raises real blowout risk, which typically hurts fourth-quarter pace. Even if Indiana pushes tempo, this number leaves limited margin for normal shooting regression.

Our number vs the market

Total points. Our model priced this game 8.7 points lower than the sportsbooks.

Market236.5

Our model227.8

Gap−8.7toward Under

225230235240

Market 236.5

Model 227.8

Final 237

April 3, 2026 · Prices and lines as of our morning run; model picks are information, not betting advice.