Memphis Grizzlies at Denver Nuggets

Prediction, pick and result · NBA · Wednesday, April 8, 2026

MEM

AwayGrizzlies

119

FINALTotal 255 · Under 244 missed

DEN

HomeNuggets

136

Official pick · counts in our record

LOSS · -1.00u

Under 2441u

Model confidence86%Tier A play

Why the model likes it

This number looks inflated relative to the game environment and may be stale if based on peak offensive assumptions. Even allowing for strong efficiency, 244.2 demands near-perfect pace and shooting.

Our number vs the market

Total points. Our model priced this game 10.6 points lower than the sportsbooks.

Market244

Our model233.6

Gap−10.6toward Under

220230240250260270

Market 244.2

Model 233.6

Final 255

April 8, 2026 · Prices and lines as of our morning run; model picks are information, not betting advice.