Toronto Raptors at Cleveland Cavaliers
Prediction, pick and result · NBA · Monday, April 20, 2026
TOR
AwayRaptors
105FINALTotal 220 · Over 223.5 missed
CLE
HomeCavaliers
115Official pick · counts in our record
LOSS · -0.50uOver 223.50.5u
Model confidence51%Tier A play
Why the model likes it
This just clears the threshold for a playable edge. It's a thinner Over, driven by modest projection value rather than a major market mistake.
Our number vs the market
Total points. Our model priced this game 3.6 points higher than the sportsbooks.
Market223
Our model226.5
Gap+3.6toward Over
217.5220222.5225227.5230
Market 222.9
Model 226.5
Final 220
April 20, 2026 · Prices and lines as of our morning run; model picks are information, not betting advice.