NBA · every game priced
NBA predictions for Monday, April 27
3games priced
3official picks, 0.5u each
0model leans, not picks
0held back, gap too wide
StartMatchupMarketModelGap (total)Our call
8:10 PMPistons at MagicFinal · DET 88, ORL 94213223.2+10.0Official pickOver 214 · 0.5u9:40 PMThunder at SunsFinal · OKC 131, PHX 122213.5220.4+7.1Official pickOver 213.5 · 0.5u10:40 PMTimberwolves at NuggetsFinal · MIN 113, DEN 125222231.2+9.4Official pickOver 222.5 · 0.5uOfficial pick: on our card and in our public record. Lean: the model and the market differ, but the game did not make the card, so no stake and no record.
Held back: the gap is unusually wide, which more often means missing news than value, so we pass. Gap = our number minus the market's; right of center leans Over.