Minnesota Timberwolves at Denver Nuggets
Prediction, pick and result · NBA · Monday, April 27, 2026
MIN
AwayTimberwolves
113FINALTotal 238 · Over 222.5 cashed
DEN
HomeNuggets
125Official pick · counts in our record
WIN · +0.49uOver 222.50.5u
Model confidence63%Tier B play
Why the model likes it
The projection still clears this number by a healthy margin, but game script risk matters because a Denver-controlled game could slow late. Even so, the offensive talent on both sides makes the Over playable.
Our number vs the market
Total points. Our model priced this game 9.4 points higher than the sportsbooks.
Market222
Our model231.2
Gap+9.4toward Over
210220230240250
Market 221.8
Model 231.2
Final 238
April 27, 2026 · Prices and lines as of our morning run; model picks are information, not betting advice.