Cleveland Cavaliers at New York Knicks

Why the model likes it

This totals edge exists because the model lands at 225.7 versus a market total of 216.6, clearing the 3+ point threshold comfortably. A more competitive game than the market spread implies should keep both primary units engaged deeper into the fourth quarter, raising both possession count and end-game free throw volume. The over case is strengthened if New York's offense can leverage efficient half-court creation while Cleveland contributes enough scoring to prevent pace collapse from a one-sided script. With a relatively modest market number, even average perimeter shooting and standard foul rates can push this game into the low-to-mid 220s.