NBA · every game priced

NBA predictions for Wednesday, October 28

12games priced

6official picks, 1u each

0model leans, not picks

0held back, gap too wide

StartMatchupMarketModelGap (total)Our call

7:10 PMHeat at HawksFinal · MIA 129, ATL 117241.5232.9−8.6Official pickUnder 241.5 · 1u 7:10 PMHornets at PistonsFinal · CHA 89, DET 97214.5222.1+7.6Official pickOver 214.5 · 1u 7:10 PM76ers at PacersFinal · PHI 114, IND 109236.5230.5−6.0Official pickUnder 236.5 · 1u 7:10 PMWizards at CavaliersFinal · WAS 111, CLE 121238.5235.1−3.4Official pickUnder 238.5 · 1u 7:40 PMMagic at RaptorsFinal · ORL 99, TOR 129223.5225.2+1.7No edgeClose to the market 8:10 PMKnicks at BullsFinal · NYK 133, CHI 127234.5228.4−6.1Official pickUnder 234.5 · 1u 8:10 PMWarriors at TimberwolvesFinal · GSW 119, MIN 114228.5234.0+5.5Official pickOver 228.5 · 1u 8:10 PMNuggets at PelicansFinal · DEN 104, NOP 91241239.6−1.4No edgeClose to the market 8:10 PMRockets at BucksFinal · HOU 132, MIL 100227.5227.1−0.4No edgeClose to the market 9:10 PMSpurs at JazzFinal · SAS 117, UTA 111233.5233.8+0.3No edgeClose to the market 9:40 PMThunder at MavericksFinal · OKC 96, DAL 120229.5229.2−0.3No edgeClose to the market 10:40 PMLakers at ClippersFinal · LAL 103, LAC 87228.5230.7+2.2No edgeClose to the market

Official pick: on our card and in our public record. Lean: the model and the market differ, but the game did not make the card, so no stake and no record.

Held back: the gap is unusually wide, which more often means missing news than value, so we pass. Gap = our number minus the market's; right of center leans Over.