Washington Wizards at Cleveland Cavaliers

Why the model likes it

This totals edge exists because 238.5 prices in near-ceiling offensive efficiency and sustained pace for all 48 minutes, which is difficult to maintain. Cleveland is generally more comfortable controlling games than playing pure track meets, and that creates some risk of pace drag if they dictate half-court possessions or build separation. Washington can contribute to scoring volatility, but that also introduces blowout risk, which often hurts late-game tempo and bench units can be less efficient than the starters. Even if the game starts fast, the total is high enough that modest shooting regression or a one-sided script can keep it below market.