NBA · every game priced

NBA predictions for Friday, October 30

10games priced

2official picks, 1u each

1model leans, not picks

0held back, gap too wide

StartMatchupMarketModelGap (total)Our call

7:10 PMHornets at WizardsFinal · CHA 79, WAS 95220.5226.5+6.0Official pickOver 220.5 · 1u 7:40 PMBulls at CelticsFinal · CHI 111, BOS 125235233.0−2.0No edgeClose to the market 7:40 PMPistons at NetsFinal · DET 110, BKN 94222.5223.8+1.3No edgeClose to the market 7:40 PMKnicks at 76ersFinal · NYK 93, PHI 98227.5227.1−0.4No edgeClose to the market 7:40 PMMagic at RaptorsFinal · ORL 121, TOR 114226.5226.3−0.2No edgeClose to the market 8:10 PMPacers at HeatFinal · IND 125, MIA 145237233.1−3.9Official pickUnder 237 · 1u 8:10 PMRockets at MavericksFinal · HOU 111, DAL 116225.5228.6+3.1LeanOver 225.5 8:10 PMClippers at TimberwolvesFinal · LAC 101, MIN 127223.5226.0+2.5No edgeClose to the market 10:10 PMNuggets at SunsFinal · DEN 127, PHX 120231.5229.2−2.3No edgeClose to the market 10:10 PMLakers at WarriorsFinal · LAL 95, GSW 112234.5233.7−0.8No edgeClose to the market

Official pick: on our card and in our public record. Lean: the model and the market differ, but the game did not make the card, so no stake and no record.

Held back: the gap is unusually wide, which more often means missing news than value, so we pass. Gap = our number minus the market's; right of center leans Over.