NBA · every game priced

NBA predictions for Tuesday, March 17

3games priced

3official picks, 0.5u each

0model leans, not picks

0held back, gap too wide

StartMatchupMarketModelGap (total)Our call

7:10 PMHeat at HornetsFinal · MIA 106, CHA 136233.5229.5−4.0Official pickUnder 233.5 · 0.5u 8:10 PMSuns at TimberwolvesFinal · PHX 104, MIN 116220.5225.2+4.5Official pickOver 220.5 · 0.5u 9:10 PM76ers at NuggetsFinal · PHI 96, DEN 124235.5230.7−4.6Official pickUnder 235.5 · 0.5u

Official pick: on our card and in our public record. Lean: the model and the market differ, but the game did not make the card, so no stake and no record.

Held back: the gap is unusually wide, which more often means missing news than value, so we pass. Gap = our number minus the market's; right of center leans Over.