Phoenix Suns at Minnesota Timberwolves
Prediction, pick and result · NBA · Tuesday, March 17, 2026
PHX
AwaySuns
104FINALTotal 220 · Over 220.5 missed
MIN
HomeTimberwolves
116Official pick · counts in our record
LOSS · -0.50uOver 220.50.5u
Model confidence64%Tier A play
Why the model likes it
This is a playable over because the total sits low enough that a competitive game with average shooting efficiency can clear it. The tighter spread also supports late-game possessions and fouling.
Our number vs the market
Total points. Our model priced this game 4.5 points higher than the sportsbooks.
Market220.5
Our model225.2
Gap+4.5toward Over
218220222224226228
Market 220.7
Model 225.2
Final 220
March 17, 2026 · Prices and lines as of our morning run; model picks are information, not betting advice.