Golden State Warriors at Boston Celtics
Prediction, pick and result · NBA · Wednesday, March 18, 2026
GSW
AwayWarriors
99FINALTotal 219 · Over 216 cashed
BOS
HomeCeltics
120Official pick · counts in our record
WIN · +0.95uOver 2161u
Model confidence76%Tier A play
Why the model likes it
This total is well below the model and modest for a game featuring two offenses capable of winning through 3-point volume. If this is a stale close, the Over still grades as playable at the listed market number.
Our number vs the market
Total points. Our model priced this game 7.6 points higher than the sportsbooks.
Market216
Our model223.7
Gap+7.6toward Over
210215220225230
Market 216.1
Model 223.7
Final 219
March 18, 2026 · Prices and lines as of our morning run; model picks are information, not betting advice.