Minnesota Timberwolves at Boston Celtics
Prediction, pick and result · NBA · Sunday, March 22, 2026
MIN
AwayTimberwolves
102FINALTotal 194 · Over 220 missed
BOS
HomeCeltics
92Official pick · counts in our record
LOSS · -0.50uOver 2200.5u
Model confidence68%Tier A play
Why the model likes it
Model makes this total 224.6, giving a solid 4.5-point edge to the over. The spread gap also points to a more competitive game than the market implies, which supports late-game free throws and full-minute usage.
Our number vs the market
Total points. Our model priced this game 4.5 points higher than the sportsbooks.
Market220
Our model224.6
Gap+4.5toward Over
180200220240
Market 220.1
Model 224.6
Final 194
March 22, 2026 · Prices and lines as of our morning run; model picks are information, not betting advice.