NBA · every game priced

NBA predictions for Monday, March 23

6games priced

3official picks

3model leans, not picks

0held back, gap too wide

StartMatchupMarketModelGap (total)Our call

7:10 PMSpurs at HeatFinal · SAS 136, MIA 111240.5231.9−8.5LeanUnder 240.5 7:10 PMPacers at MagicFinal · IND 128, ORL 126233229.1−4.1Official pickUnder 233 · 0.5u 7:10 PMThunder at 76ersFinal · OKC 123, PHI 103223.5227.4+4.0LeanOver 223.5 7:40 PMGrizzlies at HawksFinal · MEM 107, ATL 146239.5234.4−5.3Official pickUnder 239.5 · 0.5u 8:10 PMRockets at BullsFinal · HOU 124, CHI 132229.5223.8−5.7LeanUnder 229.5 10:10 PMNets at Trail BlazersFinal · BKN 99, POR 134219225.6+6.4Official pickOver 219 · 1u

Official pick: on our card and in our public record. Lean: the model and the market differ, but the game did not make the card, so no stake and no record.

Held back: the gap is unusually wide, which more often means missing news than value, so we pass. Gap = our number minus the market's; right of center leans Over.