Indiana Pacers at Orlando Magic
Prediction, pick and result · NBA · Monday, March 23, 2026
IND
AwayPacers
128FINALTotal 254 · Under 233 missed
ORL
HomeMagic
126Official pick · counts in our record
LOSS · -0.50uUnder 2330.5u
Model confidence61%Tier A play
Why the model likes it
Market appears a bit inflated relative to the model, likely pricing in too much raw pace. The under has value if Orlando controls tempo and keeps Indiana out of easy transition offense.
Our number vs the market
Total points. Our model priced this game 4.1 points lower than the sportsbooks.
Market233
Our model229.1
Gap−4.1toward Under
220230240250260270
Market 233.2
Model 229.1
Final 254
March 23, 2026 · Prices and lines as of our morning run; model picks are information, not betting advice.