Utah Jazz at Denver Nuggets
Prediction, pick and result · NBA · Friday, March 27, 2026
UTA
AwayJazz
129FINALTotal 264 · Under 248.5 missed
DEN
HomeNuggets
135Official pick · counts in our record
LOSS · -1.00uUnder 248.51u
Model confidence90%Tier A play
Why the model likes it
The market total is extremely high relative to the model, which sits at 233.6. Even if the line is somewhat stale or overreacting to recent scoring form, the numeric under edge is still large enough to back.
Our number vs the market
Total points. Our model priced this game 14.8 points lower than the sportsbooks.
Market248.5
Our model233.6
Gap−14.8toward Under
220240260280
Market 248.4
Model 233.6
Final 264
March 27, 2026 · Prices and lines as of our morning run; model picks are information, not betting advice.