Washington Wizards at Miami Heat

Prediction, pick and result · NBA · Saturday, April 4, 2026

WAS

AwayWizards

136

FINALTotal 288 · Under 248 missed

MIA

HomeHeat

152

Official pick · counts in our record

LOSS · -1.00u

Under 2481u

Model confidence84%Tier A play

Why the model likes it

This total appears stale and materially too high versus the model. The matchup and enormous spread both point more toward a one-sided game than a four-quarter shootout.

Our number vs the market

Total points. Our model priced this game 12.6 points lower than the sportsbooks.

Market248

Our model235.3

Gap−12.6toward Under

220240260280300320

Market 247.8

Model 235.3

Final 288

April 4, 2026 · Prices and lines as of our morning run; model picks are information, not betting advice.