Indiana Pacers at Cleveland Cavaliers

Prediction, pick and result · NBA · Sunday, April 5, 2026

IND

AwayPacers

108

FINALTotal 225 · Under 240 cashed

CLE

HomeCavaliers

117

Official pick · counts in our record

WIN · +0.94u

Under 2401u

Model confidence76%Tier A play

Why the model likes it

This number appears a bit stale versus the projection; the spread and likely game script point more toward suppressed late scoring than a full 48-minute shootout.

Our number vs the market

Total points. Our model priced this game 8.8 points lower than the sportsbooks.

Market240

Our model231.0

Gap−8.8toward Under

220230240250

Market 239.8

Model 231

Final 225

April 5, 2026 · Prices and lines as of our morning run; model picks are information, not betting advice.