Cleveland Cavaliers at Memphis Grizzlies
Prediction, pick and result · NBA · Monday, April 6, 2026
CLE
AwayCavaliers
142FINALTotal 268 · Under 238 missed
MEM
HomeGrizzlies
126Official pick · counts in our record
LOSS · -0.50uUnder 2380.5u
Model confidence56%Tier B play
Why the model likes it
Market total looks a bit rich relative to the projection. Blowout risk is meaningful here, which can suppress fourth-quarter pace and scoring.
Our number vs the market
Total points. Our model priced this game 4.5 points lower than the sportsbooks.
Market238
Our model233.3
Gap−4.5toward Under
220240260280
Market 237.8
Model 233.3
Final 268
April 6, 2026 · Prices and lines as of our morning run; model picks are information, not betting advice.