Portland Trail Blazers at Denver Nuggets
Prediction, pick and result · NBA · Monday, April 6, 2026
POR
AwayTrail Blazers
132FINALTotal 269 · Under 239 missed
DEN
HomeNuggets
137Official pick · counts in our record
LOSS · -1.00uUnder 2391u
Model confidence80%Tier A play
Why the model likes it
This is a very high number for a game carrying meaningful blowout potential, making the under attractive despite Denver's offensive ceiling.
Our number vs the market
Total points. Our model priced this game 10.5 points lower than the sportsbooks.
Market240
Our model229.4
Gap−10.5toward Under
200220240260280
Market 239.9
Model 229.4
Final 269
April 6, 2026 · Prices and lines as of our morning run; model picks are information, not betting advice.