Sacramento Kings at Golden State Warriors
Prediction, pick and result · NBA · Tuesday, April 7, 2026
SAC
AwayKings
105FINALTotal 215 · Under 234 cashed
GSW
HomeWarriors
110Official pick · counts in our record
WIN · +0.49uUnder 2340.5u
Model confidence63%Tier A play
Why the model likes it
There is a modest but clear under edge, with blowout concerns helping cap late-game pace at this number.
Our number vs the market
Total points. Our model priced this game 4.3 points lower than the sportsbooks.
Market234
Our model229.9
Gap−4.3toward Under
210220230240
Market 234.2
Model 229.9
Final 215
April 7, 2026 · Prices and lines as of our morning run; model picks are information, not betting advice.