Utah Jazz at New Orleans Pelicans
Prediction, pick and result · NBA · Tuesday, April 7, 2026
UTA
AwayJazz
137FINALTotal 293 · Under 242.5 missed
NOP
HomePelicans
156Official pick · counts in our record
LOSS · -1.00uUnder 242.51u
Model confidence79%Tier A play
Why the model likes it
The total is several points too high relative to projection, and the large spread adds meaningful risk of a slower second half.
Our number vs the market
Total points. Our model priced this game 7.0 points lower than the sportsbooks.
Market242.5
Our model235.5
Gap−7.0toward Under
200225250275300325
Market 242.5
Model 235.5
Final 293
April 7, 2026 · Prices and lines as of our morning run; model picks are information, not betting advice.