Los Angeles Lakers at Golden State Warriors
Prediction, pick and result · NBA · Thursday, April 9, 2026
LAL
AwayLakers
119FINALTotal 222 · Over 225.5 missed
GSW
HomeWarriors
103Official pick · counts in our record
LOSS · -0.50uOver 225.50.5u
Model confidence64%Tier B play
Why the model likes it
This total is a bit short for a game that should have strong shot volume and end-game scoring equity. The over is supported if the contest stays within a few possessions late.
Our number vs the market
Total points. Our model priced this game 4.1 points higher than the sportsbooks.
Market225.5
Our model229.4
Gap+4.1toward Over
220225230235
Market 225.3
Model 229.4
Final 222
April 9, 2026 · Prices and lines as of our morning run; model picks are information, not betting advice.