NBA · every game priced

NBA predictions for Friday, April 10

10games priced

3official picks, 0.5u each

7model leans, not picks

0held back, gap too wide

StartMatchupMarketModelGap (total)Our call

7:10 PMHeat at WizardsFinal · MIA 140, WAS 117249.5235.3−14.1LeanUnder 249.5 7:10 PMCavaliers at HawksFinal · CLE 102, ATL 124233.5230.0−3.5LeanUnder 233.5 7:40 PMRaptors at KnicksFinal · TOR 95, NYK 112219.5223.5+3.9Official pickOver 219.5 · 0.5u 8:10 PMMagic at BullsFinal · ORL 127, CHI 103242.5227.9−14.6LeanUnder 242.5 8:10 PMMavericks at SpursFinal · DAL 120, SAS 139236.5228.5−7.9Official pickUnder 236.5 · 0.5u 8:10 PMNets at BucksFinal · BKN 108, MIL 125218.5224.1+5.4Official pickOver 218.5 · 0.5u 9:10 PMThunder at NuggetsFinal · OKC 107, DEN 127231.5226.4−5.2LeanUnder 231.5 9:40 PMGrizzlies at JazzFinal · MEM 101, UTA 147247.5237.3−10.4LeanUnder 247.5 9:40 PMTimberwolves at RocketsFinal · MIN 136, HOU 132222224.8+2.6LeanOver 222 10:40 PMSuns at LakersFinal · PHX 73, LAL 101219.5223.0+3.7LeanOver 219.5

Official pick: on our card and in our public record. Lean: the model and the market differ, but the game did not make the card, so no stake and no record.

Held back: the gap is unusually wide, which more often means missing news than value, so we pass. Gap = our number minus the market's; right of center leans Over.