Toronto Raptors at New York Knicks
Prediction, pick and result · NBA · Friday, April 10, 2026
TOR
AwayRaptors
95FINALTotal 207 · Over 219.5 missed
NYK
HomeKnicks
112Official pick · counts in our record
LOSS · -0.50uOver 219.50.5u
Model confidence58%Tier A play
Why the model likes it
The edge is narrower but still clears the 3-point threshold, with the model at 223.5. A relatively close spread makes the late-game scoring environment more favorable for an over.
Our number vs the market
Total points. Our model priced this game 3.9 points higher than the sportsbooks.
Market219.5
Our model223.5
Gap+3.9toward Over
200210220230
Market 219.6
Model 223.5
Final 207
April 10, 2026 · Prices and lines as of our morning run; model picks are information, not betting advice.