Atlanta Hawks at New York Knicks
Prediction, pick and result · NBA · Saturday, April 18, 2026
ATL
AwayHawks
102FINALTotal 215 · Over 216.5 missed
NYK
HomeKnicks
113Official pick · counts in our record
LOSS · -1.00uOver 216.51u
Model confidence79%Tier A play
Why the model likes it
This total is materially short of projection for a matchup that should create more possessions and cleaner perimeter offense than the market implies.
Our number vs the market
Total points. Our model priced this game 10.5 points higher than the sportsbooks.
Market216.5
Our model227.1
Gap+10.5toward Over
210215220225230235
Market 216.6
Model 227.1
Final 215
April 18, 2026 · Prices and lines as of our morning run; model picks are information, not betting advice.