Houston Rockets at Los Angeles Lakers
Prediction, pick and result · NBA · Saturday, April 18, 2026
HOU
AwayRockets
98FINALTotal 205 · Over 207.5 missed
LAL
HomeLakers
107Official pick · counts in our record
LOSS · -1.00uOver 207.51u
Model confidence86%Tier A play
Why the model likes it
Large model gap to a very depressed total; this number looks stale relative to the expected pace/efficiency environment and projects several possessions too low.
Our number vs the market
Total points. Our model priced this game 15.4 points higher than the sportsbooks.
Market207
Our model222.6
Gap+15.4toward Over
200210220230
Market 207.2
Model 222.6
Final 205
April 18, 2026 · Prices and lines as of our morning run; model picks are information, not betting advice.