Orlando Magic at Detroit Pistons
Prediction, pick and result · NBA · Sunday, April 19, 2026
ORL
AwayMagic
112FINALTotal 213 · Over 218 missed
DET
HomePistons
101Official pick · counts in our record
LOSS · -0.50uOver 2180.5u
Model confidence57%Tier A play
Why the model likes it
This projects a bit higher than market because Detroit's offense has room to score efficiently here and Orlando's transition/paint game can keep the pace honest. The number is still low enough to support an over despite both teams having defensive stretches.
Our number vs the market
Total points. Our model priced this game 4.2 points higher than the sportsbooks.
Market219
Our model223.2
Gap+4.2toward Over
210215220225230
Market 219
Model 223.2
Final 213
April 19, 2026 · Prices and lines as of our morning run; model picks are information, not betting advice.