Orlando Magic at Detroit Pistons
Prediction, pick and result · NBA · Wednesday, April 22, 2026
ORL
AwayMagic
83FINALTotal 181 · Over 217.5 missed
DET
HomePistons
98Official pick · counts in our record
LOSS · -0.50uOver 217.50.5u
Model confidence64%Tier A play
Why the model likes it
The model still clears this number by nearly six points, making the over playable despite Orlando's tendency to drag games into half-court possessions.
Our number vs the market
Total points. Our model priced this game 4.9 points higher than the sportsbooks.
Market218.5
Our model223.2
Gap+4.9toward Over
160180200220240
Market 218.3
Model 223.2
Final 181
April 22, 2026 · Prices and lines as of our morning run; model picks are information, not betting advice.