Cleveland Cavaliers at Toronto Raptors

Prediction, pick and result · NBA · Thursday, April 23, 2026

CLE

AwayCavaliers

104

FINALTotal 230 · Over 220 cashed

TOR

HomeRaptors

126

Official pick · counts in our record

WIN · +0.46u

Over 2200.5u

Model confidence68%Tier B play

Why the model likes it

The market total sits meaningfully below the model, and the underdog/road-favorite setup points toward competitive minutes rather than a scripted slowdown.

Our number vs the market

Total points. Our model priced this game 6.9 points higher than the sportsbooks.

Market219.5

Our model226.5

Gap+6.9toward Over

215220225230235

Market 219.6

Model 226.5

Final 230

April 23, 2026 · Prices and lines as of our morning run; model picks are information, not betting advice.