Cleveland Cavaliers at Toronto Raptors

Why the model likes it

The Over appeal comes from Toronto's willingness to run opportunistically and the possibility that Cleveland's efficient half-court offense forces a more offensive game than the market baseline implies. The Cavaliers can score through multiple avenues, including inside finishing and kick-out threes, while Toronto often creates extra possession volatility with turnovers and transition chances both ways. A competitive game script would add some late-game scoring value, though the edge is narrower here than on the stronger plays. This is more about market conservatism than an elite pace setup, so stake should stay moderate.