Detroit Pistons at Orlando Magic

Why the model likes it

The edge comes from the total being set too low for two teams that can both exceed expectation through paint scoring, second-chance points, and improved offensive efficiency against non-elite transition resistance. Orlando's offense has enough size and downhill pressure to create free throws, while Detroit can contribute if they get decent guard play and early-clock looks. Even in a slower game, 211.0 does not require extreme pace to clear if shooting is merely average. The best argument against the Over is that both sides can become half-court stagnant, but the line leaves meaningful room for that risk.